What is a Tropical Cyclone?

Hurricane forecasters keeping an eye on Gulf this weekend

It appears to have weakened, with limited storms appearing on satellite, and its chances of development are 50 percent over the next five days. This storm may briefly become a Tropical Storm before weakening in the Caribbean as it quickly pushes westward. It has maximum sustained winds of 40 miles an hour, meaning it is just barely above the threshold to be a tropical storm. National Hurricane Center stated that the government of Barbados has issued a tropical storm warning. On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move through the Windward Islands and near the eastern coast of Venezuela on Monday night and early Tuesday.

While a strong system seems unlikely, the impacts to our area could still be significant given the amount of heavy rain that we have seen over the past few weeks.

Currently, the National Hurricane Center has an 80% chance this becomes at least a Tropical Depression in the next 2 days as it continues a northwestward track. A tropical wave in the central Atlantic also has an increasing chance of developing into a tropical cyclone.

A hurricane-hunter aircraft mission slated for Sunday was canceled as the storm still lacked a well-defined center, according to the NHC. A tropical storm watch is in effect for Bonaire and Aruba. We are going to leave rain chances in the forecast for these days and the greatest coverage of rain and storms will come during the afternoon and evening hours. Over the course of tonight and tomorrow morning, this low pressure is expected to move over the Yucatan Peninsula into the south or central part of the Gulf of Mexico.


Hurricane season officially began on June 1. This is considered "Potential Tropical Storm Three".

The next two names for hurricanes are Bret and Cindy.

It is not yet classified a "Tropical Storm" because it doesn't have a closed surface circulation.

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